ReNtHaL
0x05de5f5727272b64fefc7f94a38214e574ee048a
- Realised P&L
- $668.40
- Volume
- $777.0k
- Markets traded
- 596
- Open portfolio
- $9.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded596
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.335 | 0.051 | $4.86 | −$26.74 |
| Pacifica FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.575 | 0.050 | $4.28 | −$45.44 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.162 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.02 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.07 |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.026 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,350 on May 9? · Yes | 0.063 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.9kat 0.779Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?
- +$4.0kat 0.749Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 9?
- +$2.6kat 0.748Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 April 20-26?
- +$2.0kat 0.750Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 8?
- +$2.0kat 0.749Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 15:57 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.15 |
| 07-30 15:40 | Will the price of Solana be above $80 on July 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $120.67 |
| 07-17 19:23 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.589 | $18.14 |
| 07-17 15:58 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on July 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $114.89 |
| 07-17 15:57 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on July 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $114.89 |
| 07-15 22:58 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.421 | $25.68 |
| 07-14 15:59 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on July 14? | BUY | 0.999 | $114.89 |
| 07-14 15:58 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on July 14? | BUY | 0.998 | $998.00 |
| 07-13 15:59 | Will Solana reach $80 on July 13? | BUY | 0.999 | $114.89 |
| 07-12 15:59 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on July 12? | BUY | 0.997 | $2.5k |
| 07-12 15:59 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on July 12? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 07-12 15:59 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on July 12? | BUY | 0.99 | $34.69 |
| 07-12 15:59 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on July 12? | BUY | 0.989 | $209.08 |
| 07-12 15:58 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $114.89 |
| 07-12 15:58 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on July 12? | BUY | 0.989 | $319.43 |