trader228
0x05da41979137b387b017f6adb964b55a1c845691
- Realised P&L
- $-574.40
- Volume
- $453.3k
- Markets traded
- 116
- Open portfolio
- $1.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded116
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$787.19at 0.148Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on August 28?
- +$632.23at 0.115Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 5PM ET
- +$626.66at 0.053Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $117K on July 31 at 5PM ET?
- +$453.74at 0.165Ethereum Up or Down on July 28?
- +$447.45at 0.050Bitcoin Up or Down on August 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 21:56 | Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 October 26-November 1? | BUY | 0.005 | $10.00 |
| 10-29 21:50 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on October 29? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.05 |
| 10-29 21:48 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0441466706 | $12.04 |
| 09-01 12:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET | BUY | 0.055532417 | $2.00 |
| 09-01 12:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 1? | BUY | 0.028 | $1.04 |
| 09-01 11:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 1? | BUY | 0.025 | $14.75 |
| 09-01 11:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 1? | BUY | 0.0249833333 | $14.99 |
| 09-01 11:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 1? | BUY | 0.025 | $16.78 |
| 09-01 10:19 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 August 31-September 6? | BUY | 0.07 | $70.00 |
| 09-01 10:10 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 1? | BUY | 0.037 | $64.87 |
| 09-01 10:09 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 August 31-September 6? | BUY | 0.07 | $70.00 |
| 09-01 10:08 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 August 31-September 6? | BUY | 0.07 | $70.00 |
| 09-01 10:07 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 August 31-September 6? | BUY | 0.0699972315 | $45.51 |
| 08-31 21:05 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in August? | SELL | 0.004 | $59.31 |
| 08-31 18:36 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in August? | BUY | 0.01 | $50.00 |