0x05da24cd448f882e89840ec8d3110a81fcfc2d51
- Realised P&L
- $-3.14
- Volume
- $812.00
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $46.67
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration46.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.66at 0.500Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
- +$5.18at 0.167U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?
- +$3.26at 0.500Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
- +$1.98at 0.570Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
- +$1.32at 0.464Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-11 17:52 | Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.773 | $5.41 |
| 06-27 15:07 | Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? | BUY | 0.966 | $11.59 |
| 06-24 06:59 | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | BUY | 0.879 | $7.91 |
| 06-01 18:14 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.499 | $2.50 |
| 06-01 18:14 | China coup attempt before 2027? | BUY | 0.97 | $6.79 |
| 06-01 18:13 | Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? | BUY | 0.076 | $1.14 |
| 06-01 18:13 | Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | BUY | 0.946 | $7.57 |
| 05-25 09:08 | Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.81 | $6.48 |
| 05-25 09:07 | Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.19 | $3.04 |
| 05-25 09:07 | Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.00 |
| 05-25 09:07 | US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? | BUY | 0.82 | $4.10 |
| 05-25 09:07 | Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.065 | $1.10 |
| 05-25 09:06 | Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.936 | $5.62 |
| 05-25 09:06 | Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? | BUY | 0.919 | $8.27 |
| 05-25 09:06 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.464 | $2.32 |