e44rte
0x05d019a8c10961b09363c2c731b654be22a4475c
- Realised P&L
- $-7.04
- Volume
- $166.27
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $4.96
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration97.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.220 | $2.20 | −$2.40 |
| Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.255 | $1.27 | −$2.58 |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.110 | $0.70 | −$1.79 |
| Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.350 | $0.61 | −$0.39 |
| Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.034 | $0.17 | −$2.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.03at 0.248Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
- +$0.04at 0.980Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October?
- +$0.02at 0.980No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
- +$0.02at 0.983Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?
- +$0.01at 0.993Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-14 10:37 | Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.5699994984 | $1.00 |
| 03-14 10:37 | Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $0.25 |
| 01-07 07:40 | Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999432 | $1.00 |
| 01-07 07:39 | Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199995392 | $1.00 |
| 12-29 13:20 | Trump out as President in 2025? | SELL | 0.997 | $14.96 |
| 12-29 13:20 | Trump out as President in 2025? | BUY | 0.9989999343 | $15.00 |
| 12-29 13:20 | Modi out in 2025? | SELL | 0.994 | $15.91 |
| 12-29 13:18 | Modi out in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.00 |
| 12-29 13:17 | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | SELL | 0.994 | $15.94 |
| 12-29 13:16 | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | BUY | 0.9969999644 | $16.00 |
| 12-29 13:15 | Weed rescheduled in 2025? | SELL | 0.996 | $15.98 |
| 12-29 13:14 | Weed rescheduled in 2025? | BUY | 0.9969999644 | $16.00 |
| 11-30 02:52 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025? | BUY | 0.2479998175 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 13:01 | Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October? | BUY | 0.982999998 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 13:00 | Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October? | BUY | 0.9929993406 | $1.00 |