bigtunc
0x05cb3af18c941fee7cd93c37c9a8c270521e20cd
- Realised P&L
- $13.51
- Volume
- $2.6k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $97.63
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration28.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.735 | $50.28 | +$9.24 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.320 | $32.00 | +$4.00 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.115 | $11.50 | −$0.50 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.038 | $3.85 | −$0.15 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.37 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? · Yes | 0.031 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.01 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.10 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in August? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.50 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.35 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$61.97at 0.782Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$55.44at 0.462Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?
- +$42.51at 0.575Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?
- +$25.00at 0.500Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?
- +$11.76at 0.720Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 20:35 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October? | BUY | 0.04 | $4.00 |
| 10-17 20:35 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October? | BUY | 0.12 | $12.00 |
| 10-17 20:34 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October? | BUY | 0.6 | $7.98 |
| 09-24 17:18 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September? | BUY | 0.47 | $7.05 |
| 09-11 21:25 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September? | BUY | 0.572 | $17.16 |
| 09-11 14:56 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.21 | $23.10 |
| 09-01 14:06 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September? | BUY | 0.53 | $25.54 |
| 08-31 13:54 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | BUY | 0.031 | $0.15 |
| 08-26 17:20 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in August? | BUY | 0.49 | $24.50 |
| 08-20 16:13 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August? | BUY | 0.08 | $11.20 |
| 08-07 13:42 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.34 | $51.00 |
| 08-06 17:02 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in August? | BUY | 0.77 | $30.80 |
| 07-29 20:11 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.45 | $49.05 |
| 07-29 17:41 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7569999947 | $119.99 |
| 07-28 15:56 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7939999928 | $100.00 |