vkgu10
0x05b8991f8e208c3e2ad6101da9ab21e8e272bb7f
- Realised P&L
- $3.82
- Volume
- $4.9k
- Markets traded
- 68
- Open portfolio
- $33.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded68
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 October 5-11? · No | 0.975 | 0.993 | $33.76 | +$0.61 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.26at 0.955Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 September 21-27?
- +$1.11at 0.930Will Ethereum reach $3,000 September 28-October 4?
- +$0.53at 0.980Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on August 26?
- +$0.52at 0.980Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 14?
- +$0.39at 0.986Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 August 31-September 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 14:48 | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.989 | $32.64 |
| 10-01 01:07 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.994 | $32.00 |
| 09-30 14:36 | Will the price of Solana be above $125 on September 30? | BUY | 0.989 | $32.00 |
| 09-30 09:29 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 September 28-October 4? | SELL | 0.966 | $31.88 |
| 09-27 12:07 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.993 | $30.78 |
| 09-21 10:02 | Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.952 | $29.51 |
| 09-19 08:16 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.988 | $29.64 |
| 09-14 14:44 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 14? | BUY | 0.993 | $28.80 |
| 09-13 07:24 | Will XRP dip to $1.30 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.986 | $28.59 |
| 09-11 02:14 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on September 10? | BUY | 0.992 | $28.77 |
| 09-08 15:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 8? | BUY | 0.994 | $27.83 |
| 09-07 15:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 7? | BUY | 0.998 | $27.94 |
| 09-01 16:12 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 August 31-September 6? | BUY | 0.985 | $27.58 |
| 08-31 16:13 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on August 31? | BUY | 0.987 | $27.64 |
| 08-30 16:01 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 August 24-30? | BUY | 0.995 | $26.86 |