0x05B392B7b53506d51C0AB276903C59cE27B1A453-1760280439678
0x05b392b7b53506d51c0ab276903c59ce27b1a453
- Realised P&L
- $0.49
- Volume
- $740.00
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $139.83
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No | 0.940 | 0.945 | $100.53 | +$0.53 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027? · No | 0.860 | 0.845 | $39.30 | −$0.70 |
| DeepSeek V4 released by March 31? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.48at 0.830100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?
- +$0.01at 0.230US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 16:22 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.8599999983 | $40.00 |
| 10-03 16:22 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.9399999976 | $100.00 |
| 02-26 05:08 | DeepSeek V4 released by March 31? | BUY | 0.6099999994 | $10.00 |
| 02-18 11:34 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $5.00 |
| 02-10 08:35 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999692 | $5.00 |
| 10-22 00:38 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31? | BUY | 0.0245842315 | $10.00 |
| 10-12 15:22 | 100% tariff on China in effect by November 1? | BUY | 0.8299999993 | $100.00 |