0x05a832DBe65aDE46Ae706c136B999678b155F5F9-1770037523129
0x05a832dbe65ade46ae706c136b999678b155f5f9
- Realised P&L
- $-11.60
- Volume
- $5.7k
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $6.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.81at 0.635Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?
- +$5.68at 0.475England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$5.38at 0.650Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?
- +$4.69at 0.390Will FC Nantes win on 2026-02-22?
- +$4.46at 0.677Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-15 11:39 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.462499985 | $5.00 |
| 07-15 09:00 | Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.035999983 | $2.00 |
| 07-15 08:57 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1969999735 | $5.00 |
| 07-07 08:32 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6699999833 | $9.25 |
| 07-07 08:31 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.138 | $3.25 |
| 07-07 08:31 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.09 | $6.43 |
| 07-04 07:24 | Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.08 | $3.85 |
| 06-25 11:07 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1479999782 | $5.00 |
| 06-09 07:55 | Will Karim Bouamrane be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.12 | $3.33 |
| 06-09 06:06 | Will Karim Bouamrane be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.059999989 | $5.00 |
| 06-07 13:23 | Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev | BUY | 0.8299999967 | $5.00 |
| 06-04 13:44 | Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |
| 06-01 11:43 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 06-01 11:42 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0939999225 | $1.00 |
| 05-28 13:59 | Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouame | BUY | 0.3899998479 | $1.00 |