Gregoryleo
0x05a5ccc6a73b70fa5ac585d85ec26eec69816c03
- Realised P&L
- $20.04
- Volume
- $12.5k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $22.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 71°F or below on October 2? · No | 0.999 | 0.996 | $12.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $10.01 | +$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.80at 0.994Will Ethereum reach $2,200 on April 1?
- +$2.05at 0.998Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on April 3?
- +$1.75at 0.995Will XRP dip to $1.15 on April 2?
- +$1.55at 0.998Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 4?
- +$1.00at 0.998France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 23:03 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 71°F or below on October 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.00 |
| 06-29 23:59 | Will the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election? | BUY | 0.9990000009 | $10.00 |
| 05-18 01:52 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999953 | $10.00 |
| 05-17 17:31 | Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-17? | BUY | 0.7099999432 | $1.00 |
| 05-17 17:15 | Will Brian Harman win the 2026 PGA Championship? | BUY | 0.998999901 | $10.00 |
| 04-20 17:05 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 on April 20? | BUY | 0.9989999988 | $586.63 |
| 04-20 17:05 | Will Solana dip to $75 on April 20? | BUY | 0.9989999977 | $299.96 |
| 04-20 17:04 | Will Solana reach $100 on April 20? | BUY | 0.9988760793 | $499.92 |
| 04-19 17:03 | Will XRP reach $1.60 April 13-19? | BUY | 0.9979999975 | $250.77 |
| 04-19 17:03 | Will XRP reach $1.60 on April 19? | BUY | 0.9979111887 | $339.90 |
| 04-19 17:03 | Will XRP dip to $1.20 on April 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $499.93 |
| 04-19 17:03 | Will XRP dip to $1.20 April 13-19? | BUY | 0.999 | $293.96 |
| 04-16 06:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $583.48 |
| 04-16 06:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on April 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $799.88 |
| 04-04 09:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 4? | BUY | 0.998 | $831.26 |