julissatho
0x05a52ffcf5c29dc6a5a770e38cf64229ca65f9e2
- Realised P&L
- $-171.71
- Volume
- $16.7k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $153.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)79.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? · No | 0.964 | 0.956 | $52.58 | −$0.44 |
| Will Ethena reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.976 | 0.955 | $50.59 | −$1.14 |
| Printr FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No | 0.932 | 0.915 | $50.33 | −$0.94 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$660.00at 0.500Solana Up or Down on August 16?
- +$642.06at 0.460Reds vs. Pirates
- +$610.08at 0.520Reds vs. Pirates
- +$572.22at 0.490Bitcoin Up or Down on August 23?
- +$459.17at 0.630XRP above $2.50 on May 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-19 12:17 | White Sox vs. Braves | BUY | 0.4 | $231.20 |
| 05-22 06:51 | XRP Up or Down on May 22? | BUY | 0.51 | $587.01 |
| 05-19 12:57 | Reds vs. Pirates | BUY | 0.52 | $660.92 |
| 05-15 08:01 | XRP above $2.50 on May 16? | BUY | 0.63 | $781.83 |
| 04-30 13:08 | Cubs vs. Pirates | BUY | 0.6199999993 | $225.00 |
| 04-28 07:58 | Cardinals vs. Reds | BUY | 0.4799999993 | $247.00 |
| 04-24 06:44 | Ethereum Up or Down on April 25? | BUY | 0.5099999991 | $148.00 |