PolyBot

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Traders

lian10217

0x05905e63b171029038aad686f8de6da6cbe2256b

Realised P&L
$-22.4k
Volume
$177.9k
Markets traded
60
Open portfolio
$560.94

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-12.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded60
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample48 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 14:08Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.5499999995$50.00
10-23 16:16Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.1185590513$20.00
10-23 16:16Will the Republican Party hold between 195 and 199 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.1692633813$30.00
10-23 16:15Will the Republican Party hold between 200 and 204 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.1624505457$20.00
10-23 16:11Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.3899999983$80.00
10-23 16:10Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?BUY0.6699999994$170.00
10-23 15:50Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.6799999995$150.00
10-23 15:46Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.1572443617$20.00
07-01 16:23Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?BUY0.4399999984$90.00
06-06 16:41US recession in 2025?BUY0.2599999985$100.00
06-06 16:38Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?BUY0.2502929225$80.00
06-06 03:43Will Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump before July?BUY0.2299999972$60.00
04-29 01:50Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?BUY0.4317678604$185.51
04-29 01:49Will Hillary Clinton be named in Epstein files?SELL0.75$110.29
04-24 02:44Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?SELL0.0392593005$61.99