lian10217
0x05905e63b171029038aad686f8de6da6cbe2256b
- Realised P&L
- $-22.4k
- Volume
- $177.9k
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $560.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-12.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample48 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$674.73at 0.220Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?
- +$561.04at 0.211Negative GDP growth in Q1 2025?
- +$543.08at 0.405South Korean President impeached in 2024?
- +$392.68at 0.560Will TikTok be on the App Store by Friday?
- +$349.50at 0.300 Trump imposes 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico before March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 14:08 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5499999995 | $50.00 |
| 10-23 16:16 | Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.1185590513 | $20.00 |
| 10-23 16:16 | Will the Republican Party hold between 195 and 199 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.1692633813 | $30.00 |
| 10-23 16:15 | Will the Republican Party hold between 200 and 204 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.1624505457 | $20.00 |
| 10-23 16:11 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999983 | $80.00 |
| 10-23 16:10 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999994 | $170.00 |
| 10-23 15:50 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.6799999995 | $150.00 |
| 10-23 15:46 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.1572443617 | $20.00 |
| 07-01 16:23 | Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025? | BUY | 0.4399999984 | $90.00 |
| 06-06 16:41 | US recession in 2025? | BUY | 0.2599999985 | $100.00 |
| 06-06 16:38 | Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.2502929225 | $80.00 |
| 06-06 03:43 | Will Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump before July? | BUY | 0.2299999972 | $60.00 |
| 04-29 01:50 | Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority? | BUY | 0.4317678604 | $185.51 |
| 04-29 01:49 | Will Hillary Clinton be named in Epstein files? | SELL | 0.75 | $110.29 |
| 04-24 02:44 | Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.0392593005 | $61.99 |