0x058f20ac8fe887deeb3cbe5f761f738dc58f55f0
- Realised P&L
- $-14.76
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $142.85
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration36.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| APYX FDV above $80M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.775 | $142.85 | −$28.57 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.29at 0.958Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 14?
- +$3.23at 0.980MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
- +$2.26at 0.964Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
- +$1.77at 0.987Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$1.33at 0.990EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-24 06:22 | APYX FDV above $80M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.93 | $139.50 |
| 05-24 06:21 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.978 | $171.15 |
| 05-01 08:21 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.999 | $169.83 |
| 03-31 00:19 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9799193529 | $166.59 |
| 03-31 00:19 | EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.998 | $165.67 |
| 03-24 10:27 | EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.99 | $164.34 |
| 03-20 04:43 | Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9869375 | $157.91 |
| 03-15 07:09 | Katana FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.999 | $159.84 |
| 03-14 11:31 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C or higher on March 14? | BUY | 0.999 | $159.84 |
| 03-14 02:15 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 11°C on March 14? | BUY | 0.998 | $159.68 |
| 03-14 01:33 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 14? | BUY | 0.9578250657 | $157.00 |