most1048
0x058b7b93a54f133000528befcbe8362352eca7f5
- Realised P&L
- $-30.65
- Volume
- $974.54
- Markets traded
- 62
- Open portfolio
- $17.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded62
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.860 | 0.945 | $5.49 | +$0.49 |
| Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during September Press Conference? · Yes | 0.870 | 0.915 | $5.26 | +$0.26 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · No | 0.930 | 0.986 | $3.18 | +$0.18 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.930 | 0.920 | $1.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.115 | $0.65 | −$2.35 |
| JD Vance out as VP by December 31? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.045 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
| Will Ipswich Town FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.15at 0.707Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
- +$5.31at 0.490Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
- +$4.85at 0.296LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI
- +$3.41at 0.548Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
- +$2.61at 0.747Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 18:13 | Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.8699999147 | $5.00 |
| 09-02 06:58 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999814 | $2.00 |
| 08-27 08:23 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.93 | $3.00 |
| 08-22 06:18 | Will Ipswich Town FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 15:15 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5299999505 | $3.00 |
| 07-13 07:51 | Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $60B by July 31? | BUY | 0.9689999415 | $10.00 |
| 07-04 18:01 | GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.9569999987 | $5.00 |
| 07-01 10:26 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $5.00 |
| 06-28 02:19 | Exact Score: Algeria 1 - 1 Austria? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.90 |
| 06-28 02:19 | Exact Score: Algeria 1 - 0 Austria? | BUY | 0.1299999628 | $2.90 |
| 06-26 21:02 | Exact Score: Uruguay 0 - 2 Spain? | BUY | 0.1299999628 | $2.90 |
| 06-26 21:01 | Exact Score: Uruguay 0 - 2 Spain? | SELL | 0.12 | $2.90 |
| 06-26 14:58 | Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 France? | BUY | 0.059999981 | $2.90 |
| 06-26 14:42 | Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 France? | BUY | 0.1 | $4.40 |
| 06-26 14:40 | Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 France? | SELL | 0.05 | $2.42 |