JMALP
0x0587b81f2d06fe7673a9801c5beecd7f28365420
- Realised P&L
- $26.79
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $150.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.771 | 0.888 | $46.11 | +$6.11 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.835 | $45.14 | +$5.14 |
| Will Rastislav Trnka win the 2026 Košice Region gubernatorial election? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.730 | $31.74 | +$1.74 |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.685 | $27.60 | +$0.60 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET · Up | 0.544 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$63.88at 0.439Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?
- +$19.52at 0.648Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
- +$18.51at 0.527Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
- +$14.47at 0.517Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
- +$6.95at 0.597Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 19:16 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.6699999995 | $27.00 |
| 10-18 19:15 | Will Rastislav Trnka win the 2026 Košice Region gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.6899999979 | $30.00 |
| 10-18 19:09 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999871 | $40.00 |
| 10-18 19:07 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7706868783 | $40.00 |
| 10-05 10:58 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.835 | $91.64 |
| 10-04 21:46 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.836775409 | $50.00 |
| 10-04 20:51 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8 | $40.00 |
| 10-04 20:47 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.18 | $9.73 |
| 10-04 12:32 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3699999935 | $20.00 |
| 05-09 21:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET | BUY | 0.6199999628 | $5.00 |
| 05-09 21:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5899999705 | $5.00 |
| 05-09 21:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET | BUY | 0.599999976 | $5.00 |
| 05-09 21:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET | BUY | 0.3499999615 | $5.00 |
| 05-09 21:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET | SELL | 0.97 | $14.91 |
| 05-09 21:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET | BUY | 0.6499999675 | $5.00 |