dsafc
0x0581b67727de7756fdc22c4b19b7107a375e8b8d
- Realised P&L
- $-125.19
- Volume
- $5.8k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $8.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)51.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.270 | $8.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.07at 0.487Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
- +$0.45at 0.690Will Trump lower tariffs on EU before July?
- +$0.44at 0.696Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?
- +$0.28at 0.780Earthquake 7.0 or above before August?
- +$0.20at 0.830Will Cole Escola win the Tony for Best Leading Actor in a Play 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 18:37 | Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? | BUY | 0.2699999811 | $8.00 |
| 06-12 06:32 | Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | BUY | 0.4799998272 | $1.00 |
| 06-11 12:12 | Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 06-11 12:11 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 02-27 10:48 | Will Scream 7 be the February film with the highest domestic gross on March 31? | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $1.00 |
| 02-27 10:46 | Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.91 | $1.12 |
| 12-29 15:24 | Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.8099999757 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 19:31 | Netherlands Parliamentary Election: D66 vs VVD | BUY | 0.84 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 19:29 | Democratic sweep? | SELL | 0.85 | $1.07 |
| 09-23 11:42 | Democratic sweep? | BUY | 0.7899999921 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 07:46 | Will Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by December 31? | SELL | 0.88 | $1.15 |
| 08-07 07:46 | Will Bitcoin reach $120K August 4–10? | BUY | 0.889999911 | $1.00 |
| 07-26 18:39 | Will Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by December 31? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 06-27 07:21 | Earthquake 7.0 or above before August? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 05-26 05:04 | Will Cole Escola win the Tony for Best Leading Actor in a Play 2025? | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |