bono194
0x057b1278c6f10ce28fa1bda1248c3280e5eb9819
- Realised P&L
- $-1.0k
- Volume
- $126.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,445
- Open portfolio
- $54.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,445
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration24.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$277.68at 0.003Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?
- +$154.21at 0.131Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$96.89at 0.209Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?
- +$64.57at 0.031Will Bravo Ljubljana win on 2026-09-12?
- +$44.48at 0.444Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 15:41 | Will Sweden win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 15:07 | Will Latvia win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 14:40 | Will Kenya win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.1299999982 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 16:54 | Will Sweden win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $10.00 |
| 09-30 15:52 | Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.4799999846 | $10.00 |
| 09-30 15:51 | Will Israel win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.299999994 | $10.00 |
| 09-30 15:51 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $15.00 |
| 09-29 16:16 | Will Moldova win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.299999994 | $10.00 |
| 09-29 14:41 | Will Iceland win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $10.00 |
| 09-29 14:40 | Will San Marino vs. Albania end in a draw? | BUY | 0.05 | $2.00 |
| 09-29 14:40 | Will Nigeria win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.649999987 | $15.00 |
| 09-29 14:29 | Will Chile win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.1399999963 | $3.00 |
| 09-29 14:26 | Will Croatia win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.0699999998 | $3.00 |
| 09-28 19:31 | Will France win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 19:14 | Will France win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $15.00 |