PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

bono194

0x057b1278c6f10ce28fa1bda1248c3280e5eb9819

Realised P&L
$-1.0k
Volume
$126.0k
Markets traded
1,445
Open portfolio
$54.67

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,445
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration24.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01? · Yes0.4700.455$14.52−$0.48
Will Sweden win on 2026-10-02? · Yes0.4120.375$13.66−$1.34
Will Israel win on 2026-10-01? · Yes0.3000.315$10.50+$0.50
Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01? · Yes0.4800.485$10.10+$0.10
Will Latvia win on 2026-10-02? · Yes0.2000.195$4.88−$0.13
Will Kenya win on 2026-10-01? · Yes0.1300.026$1.02−$3.98
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00−$3.50
Will Casa Pia AC vs. FC Porto end in a draw? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00−$2.00
Canada vs. Morocco: Will the Match Go to Extra Time? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? · Yes0.1170.000$0.00−$7.00
Will SG Sonnenhof Großaspach win on 2026-08-22? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5610.000$0.00−$30.00
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$1.12
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Como 1907 vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 15:41Will Sweden win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.3799999924$5.00
10-01 15:07Will Latvia win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.2$5.00
10-01 14:40Will Kenya win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.1299999982$5.00
09-30 16:54Will Sweden win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.4299999991$10.00
09-30 15:52Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.4799999846$10.00
09-30 15:51Will Israel win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.299999994$10.00
09-30 15:51Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.4699999944$15.00
09-29 16:16Will Moldova win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.299999994$10.00
09-29 14:41Will Iceland win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.4199999966$10.00
09-29 14:40Will San Marino vs. Albania end in a draw?BUY0.05$2.00
09-29 14:40Will Nigeria win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.649999987$15.00
09-29 14:29Will Chile win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.1399999963$3.00
09-29 14:26Will Croatia win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.0699999998$3.00
09-28 19:31Will France win on 2026-09-28?BUY0.5$5.00
09-28 19:14Will France win on 2026-09-28?BUY0.4699999944$15.00