0x0579294b29b1e03cf03ec1abc05eb439c347fe13
- Realised P&L
- $-62.13
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $181.61
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration46.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.875 | $137.90 | +$35.46 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes | 0.400 | 0.305 | $43.71 | −$13.62 |
| Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$208.16 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$80.75at 0.650Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$47.85at 0.548Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
- +$45.20at 0.700Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
- +$-88.19at 0.583Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-20 13:32 | Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election? | BUY | 0.65 | $102.44 |
| 08-20 13:25 | Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.7299999995 | $208.16 |
| 04-23 13:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 23? | BUY | 0.6299999984 | $47.10 |
| 04-16 12:31 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6499999967 | $149.97 |
| 04-02 20:57 | Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.7 | $105.46 |
| 03-07 13:50 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.4 | $57.33 |
| 03-07 13:04 | Will another country strike Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.5477969014 | $57.96 |