PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x0578EB6408F08785578f4c0A58e431C7DCb1E1fB-1775712933090

0x0578eb6408f08785578f4c0a58e431c7dcb1e1fb

Realised P&L
$-55.47
Volume
$31.9k
Markets traded
31
Open portfolio
$483.38

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded31
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration56.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration55.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0860.065$266.50−$84.38
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1250.116$93.96−$7.47
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0730.041$86.10−$66.90
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1290.075$36.83−$26.57
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026? · No0.0100.000$0.00−$12.54
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 3, 2026? · No0.0040.000$0.00−$2.40
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026? · No0.0460.000$0.00−$3.68
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 31, 2026? · No0.0030.000$0.00−$6.00
Will Solana reach $110 in May? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$187.10
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 22, 2026? · No0.0950.000$0.00−$30.00
Will XRP reach $1.80 in May? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$40.00
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 10, 2026? · No0.0240.000$0.00−$19.20
Will Claude 5 be released by June 12, 2026? · No0.1720.000$0.00−$100.10
Will Solana reach $120 in May? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00−$24.14
GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026? · No0.1500.000$0.00−$150.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-25 15:27Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.13$5.20
08-21 14:15Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2$10.20
08-21 14:14Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.09$82.80
08-21 13:01Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.38$60.04
08-21 13:00Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.38$45.60
07-03 16:12GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?BUY0.1299999907$11.00
07-03 16:12GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?BUY0.1799999869$11.00
07-01 08:16GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?BUY0.3354334059$50.00
06-30 14:14Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?BUY0.1293478261$29.75
06-30 13:49Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?BUY0.1414089347$49.38
06-30 09:46Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?BUY0.5$100.00
06-27 08:04Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?BUY0.1678882231$148.69
06-27 08:04GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?BUY0.15$150.00
06-09 11:14Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?BUY0.0658672416$20.00
06-09 11:13Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?BUY0.0659999883$5.00