0x0578EB6408F08785578f4c0A58e431C7DCb1E1fB-1775712933090
0x0578eb6408f08785578f4c0a58e431c7dcb1e1fb
- Realised P&L
- $-62.24
- Volume
- $30.5k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $507.54
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$459.90at 0.502Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
- +$253.60at 0.330Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?
- +$96.80at 0.298GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.150OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?
- +$-46.85at 0.290Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-25 15:27 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $5.20 |
| 08-21 14:15 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.20 |
| 08-21 14:14 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $82.80 |
| 08-21 13:01 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $60.04 |
| 08-21 13:00 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $45.60 |
| 07-03 16:12 | GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999907 | $11.00 |
| 07-03 16:12 | GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.1799999869 | $11.00 |
| 07-01 08:16 | GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.3354334059 | $50.00 |
| 06-30 14:14 | Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1293478261 | $29.75 |
| 06-30 13:49 | Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1414089347 | $49.38 |
| 06-30 09:46 | Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $100.00 |
| 06-27 08:04 | Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30? | BUY | 0.1678882231 | $148.69 |
| 06-27 08:04 | GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $150.00 |
| 06-09 11:14 | Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0658672416 | $20.00 |
| 06-09 11:13 | Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0659999883 | $5.00 |