PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x0578EB6408F08785578f4c0A58e431C7DCb1E1fB-1775712933090

0x0578eb6408f08785578f4c0a58e431c7dcb1e1fb

Realised P&L
$-62.24
Volume
$30.5k
Markets traded
31
Open portfolio
$507.54

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded31
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration56.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.075$217.50$73.39
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0730.055$115.50$37.50
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1400.120$72.30$11.70
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.3800.200$55.60$50.04
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1290.095$46.65$16.75
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026? · No0.0100.000$0.00$12.54
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 3, 2026? · No0.0040.000$0.00$2.40
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026? · No0.0460.000$0.00$3.68
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 31, 2026? · No0.0030.000$0.00$6.00
Will Solana reach $110 in May? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$187.10
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 22, 2026? · No0.0950.000$0.00$30.00
Will XRP reach $1.80 in May? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$40.00
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 10, 2026? · No0.0240.000$0.00$19.20
Will Claude 5 be released by June 12, 2026? · No0.1720.000$0.00$100.10
Will Solana reach $120 in May? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00$24.14

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-25 15:27Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.13$5.20
08-21 14:15Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2$10.20
08-21 14:14Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.09$82.80
08-21 13:01Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.38$60.04
08-21 13:00Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.38$45.60
07-03 16:12GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?BUY0.1299999907$11.00
07-03 16:12GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?BUY0.1799999869$11.00
07-01 08:16GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?BUY0.3354334059$50.00
06-30 14:14Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?BUY0.1293478261$29.75
06-30 13:49Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?BUY0.1414089347$49.38
06-30 09:46Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?BUY0.5$100.00
06-27 08:04Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?BUY0.1678882231$148.69
06-27 08:04GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?BUY0.15$150.00
06-09 11:14Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?BUY0.0658672416$20.00
06-09 11:13Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?BUY0.0659999883$5.00