PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x0578C6DDf398B35f35Fd12fC4aAb22Cd5b7Dc544-1773430819171

0x0578c6ddf398b35f35fd12fc4aab22cd5b7dc544

Realised P&L
$-2.31
Volume
$30.2k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$19.92

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration38.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 29? · Yes0.9940.996$19.92+$0.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 05:08Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 29?BUY0.994$19.88
07-06 07:30Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.003$6.03
06-29 07:08Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.004$8.04
06-22 06:35Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.004$7.16
05-15 08:13Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?BUY0.006$9.54
05-11 03:52Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.004$7.56
04-27 08:45Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.007$7.84
04-15 06:45Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.01$9.90
04-11 05:29Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.008$9.52
04-09 12:30Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?SELL0.008$8.88
04-09 08:51Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.009$9.99
03-17 07:51Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.977$627.23