0x0578C6DDf398B35f35Fd12fC4aAb22Cd5b7Dc544-1773430819171
0x0578c6ddf398b35f35fd12fc4aab22cd5b7dc544
- Realised P&L
- $-2.31
- Volume
- $30.2k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $19.92
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration38.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 29? · Yes | 0.994 | 0.996 | $19.92 | +$0.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.10at 0.990Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $84,000 on April 28?
- +$0.04at 0.996Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,600 on February 17?
- +$0.03at 0.998Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $70,000 on May 14?
- +$0.03at 0.998Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 22?
- +$0.03at 0.998Will the price of Solana be less than $40 on March 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 05:08 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 29? | BUY | 0.994 | $19.88 |
| 07-06 07:30 | Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $6.03 |
| 06-29 07:08 | Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.004 | $8.04 |
| 06-22 06:35 | Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.004 | $7.16 |
| 05-15 08:13 | Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | BUY | 0.006 | $9.54 |
| 05-11 03:52 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.004 | $7.56 |
| 04-27 08:45 | Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.007 | $7.84 |
| 04-15 06:45 | Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.01 | $9.90 |
| 04-11 05:29 | Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.008 | $9.52 |
| 04-09 12:30 | Will Malta win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.008 | $8.88 |
| 04-09 08:51 | Will Malta win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.009 | $9.99 |
| 03-17 07:51 | Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.977 | $627.23 |