0x54f795b0A4554Bf98d6a682cfB75faF74Fb1708b-1772898299149
0x0573a9eac9644b61ca85b737a496207afb34bba1
- Realised P&L
- $32.26
- Volume
- $415.84
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $0.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration37.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-10-12? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.001 | $0.04 | −$29.25 |
| Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-10-12? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.66 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$42.55at 0.249Will Faroe Islands vs. Slovakia end in a draw?
- +$36.97at 0.452Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-10?
- +$34.29at 0.310Will Levante UD vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?
- +$-0.00at 0.995Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$-2.48at 0.115Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 14:48 | Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-10-12? | BUY | 0.3599999961 | $29.29 |
| 10-12 14:43 | Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-10-12? | BUY | 0.4299999906 | $14.66 |
| 10-12 14:40 | Will Levante UD vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.299999996 | $14.92 |
| 10-10 11:59 | Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.44 | $29.70 |
| 10-07 12:43 | Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-10-07? | BUY | 0.4899999882 | $14.90 |
| 10-03 12:53 | Will Finland vs. Albania end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3299999998 | $14.18 |
| 10-03 03:19 | Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.993 | $0.99 |
| 10-03 03:15 | Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.995 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 14:34 | Will Faroe Islands vs. Slovakia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2399999986 | $13.60 |
| 10-02 14:26 | Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.4899999902 | $14.48 |
| 09-15 11:49 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.05 |
| 09-15 11:48 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.32 |