tourist-505
0x056d8f328a1dec547e6dd4afcd5c3600eb4e125b
- Realised P&L
- $38.53
- Volume
- $8.6k
- Markets traded
- 50
- Open portfolio
- $260.21
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded50
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration96.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No | 0.981 | 0.988 | $111.74 | +$0.74 |
| Is Earth flat? · No | 0.991 | 0.993 | $111.22 | +$0.22 |
| Iran leadership change by October 31? · No | 0.984 | 0.985 | $20.02 | +$0.02 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No | 0.860 | 0.915 | $7.45 | +$0.45 |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,200 Week of October 12 2026? · No | 0.980 | 0.976 | $4.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $840 Week of October 12 2026? · No | 0.980 | 0.942 | $4.81 | −$0.19 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.0kat 0.500Solana Up or Down - August 8, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
- +$30.00at 0.250Will Atletico Madrid beat Barcelona?
- +$6.38at 0.940Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$6.02at 0.146Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$5.98at 0.870Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in December?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 12:23 | Iran leadership change by October 31? | BUY | 0.9839999638 | $20.00 |
| 10-10 12:22 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,200 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $5.00 |
| 10-10 12:22 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $840 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.9801980004 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 09:50 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $810 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 09:50 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $780 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 09:50 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,170 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 09:50 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,110 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.9889999991 | $10.00 |
| 08-08 12:02 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.9809999918 | $111.00 |
| 08-08 12:02 | Is Earth flat? | BUY | 0.9909999968 | $111.00 |
| 08-08 11:59 | Dogecoin Up or Down - August 8, 7AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $25.00 |
| 08-08 11:54 | Dogecoin Up or Down - August 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $100.00 |
| 08-08 11:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 07-23 13:06 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.8599999902 | $7.00 |
| 05-20 16:53 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 21? | BUY | 0.9929999448 | $10.00 |
| 05-20 16:53 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 21? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |