0x05675f8eF88c989B3aeF5E800408745c5cC6F4A2-1773430620355
0x05675f8ef88c989b3aef5e800408745c5cc6f4a2
- Realised P&L
- $-1.92
- Volume
- $29.4k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $24.86
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)47.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,200 on September 30? · No | 0.999 | 0.995 | $24.86 | −$0.11 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.17at 0.997Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
- +$0.62at 0.980Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
- +$0.25at 0.978Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on March 3?
- +$0.22at 0.978Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?
- +$0.06at 0.994Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on June 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 05:02 | Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,200 on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $24.98 |
| 07-06 07:38 | Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $6.03 |
| 06-29 07:04 | Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.004 | $8.08 |
| 06-22 06:30 | Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.004 | $7.24 |
| 05-15 08:11 | Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | BUY | 0.006 | $9.66 |
| 05-11 03:48 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.004 | $8.04 |
| 04-15 06:29 | Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.01 | $9.90 |
| 04-11 05:25 | Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.008 | $9.60 |
| 04-09 08:49 | Will Malta win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.009 | $9.81 |
| 04-03 10:05 | Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.009 | $9.09 |
| 04-02 08:09 | Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.01 | $10.10 |
| 03-19 03:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 20? | SELL | 0.49 | $48.23 |
| 03-19 03:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 20? | BUY | 0.5 | $48.44 |
| 03-18 03:44 | Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.981 | $609.20 |
| 03-17 07:47 | Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.98 | $28.42 |