aldenalden
0x05653ba4a0f897c343e9619a16a8373bfe3659bb
- Realised P&L
- $-465.00
- Volume
- $26.8k
- Markets traded
- 1,630
- Open portfolio
- $107.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,630
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration10.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: James Madison (-12.5) · Georgia State | 0.505 | 0.560 | $55.44 | +$5.45 |
| Spread: KK Crvena Zvezda (-7.5) · KK Crvena Zvezda | 0.767 | 1.000 | $14.99 | +$3.48 |
| Spread: Notre Dame (-10.5) · Notre Dame | 0.500 | 0.505 | $11.11 | +$0.11 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5 · Under | 0.510 | 0.505 | $5.05 | −$0.05 |
| Commanders vs. 49ers: O/U 50.5 · Under | 0.455 | 0.425 | $4.25 | −$0.30 |
| Titans vs. Colts: O/U 44.5 · Under | 0.490 | 0.495 | $2.97 | +$0.03 |
| Panthers vs. Eagles: O/U 40.5 · Over | 0.453 | 0.445 | $2.67 | −$0.05 |
| Spread: Utah (-15.5) · Utah | 0.480 | 0.475 | $2.38 | −$0.02 |
| Spread: Memphis (-6.5) · Memphis | 0.520 | 0.515 | $2.06 | −$0.02 |
| Spread: Georgia (-19.5) · Georgia | 0.500 | 0.495 | $1.98 | −$0.02 |
| Spread: Panthers (-6.5) · Eagles | 0.630 | 0.615 | $1.23 | −$0.03 |
| Kentucky vs. Oklahoma: O/U 43.5 · Over | 0.510 | 0.505 | $1.01 | −$0.01 |
| Commanders vs. 49ers: O/U 51.5 · Under | 0.480 | 0.465 | $0.93 | −$0.03 |
| Rutgers vs. Maryland: O/U 57.5 · Over | 0.470 | 0.465 | $0.93 | −$0.01 |
| Barcelona vs. Olympiacos B.C. · Barcelona | 0.350 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$76.15at 0.170Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
- +$41.97at 0.161XRP Up or Down - June 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
- +$37.27at 0.452Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 21?
- +$36.51at 0.373Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 12AM ET
- +$35.23at 0.377Solana Up or Down - June 2, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 22:12 | Panthers vs. Eagles: O/U 40.5 | BUY | 0.45 | $0.90 |
| 10-16 22:05 | Spread: Memphis (-6.5) | BUY | 0.52 | $2.08 |
| 10-16 21:55 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 10-16 21:08 | Commanders vs. 49ers: O/U 51.5 | BUY | 0.48 | $0.96 |
| 10-16 20:47 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.51 | $1.53 |
| 10-16 20:46 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.51 | $1.02 |
| 10-16 20:00 | Spread: James Madison (-12.5) | BUY | 0.56 | $6.16 |
| 10-16 19:44 | Spread: Utah (-15.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $1.44 |
| 10-16 19:03 | Rovereto: Bianca Andreescu vs Lucrezia Stefanini | BUY | 0.13 | $0.26 |
| 10-16 18:32 | Barcelona vs. Olympiacos B.C. | BUY | 0.31 | $0.62 |
| 10-16 18:25 | Spread: Panthers (-6.5) | BUY | 0.63 | $1.26 |
| 10-16 18:24 | Rutgers vs. Maryland: O/U 57.5 | BUY | 0.47 | $0.94 |
| 10-16 18:17 | Spread: KK Crvena Zvezda (-7.5) | BUY | 0.76 | $3.80 |
| 10-16 18:15 | Barcelona vs. Olympiacos B.C. | BUY | 0.39 | $0.78 |
| 10-16 17:46 | Titans vs. Colts: O/U 44.5 | BUY | 0.49 | $0.98 |