PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

desmopm

0x0563717ba60c6c9347b5cadc26f8bc0dc4710616

Realised P&L
$-68.36
Volume
$8.6k
Markets traded
463
Open portfolio
$66.58

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded463
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-24? · Yes0.7100.705$9.93−$0.07
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-20? · Yes0.8900.895$8.95+$0.05
Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-20? · Yes0.8500.835$8.35−$0.15
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-21? · Yes0.8100.815$8.15+$0.05
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-21? · Yes0.8000.805$8.05+$0.05
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-21? · Yes0.7800.785$7.85+$0.05
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-21? · Yes0.7800.775$7.75−$0.05
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20? · Yes0.7500.755$7.55+$0.05
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00−$0.05
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET · Down0.4580.000$0.00−$2.34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET · Up0.3200.000$0.00−$1.60
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00−$0.05
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00−$0.05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET · Down0.7100.000$0.00−$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00−$0.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-18 22:23Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-21?BUY0.8$8.00
10-18 22:23Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-21?BUY0.78$7.80
10-18 22:23Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-21?BUY0.81$8.10
10-18 22:22Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-21?BUY0.78$7.80
10-18 22:22Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-20?BUY0.85$8.50
10-18 22:21Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?BUY0.75$7.50
10-18 22:18Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-20?BUY0.89$8.90
10-18 22:11Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-24?BUY0.7099999815$10.00
10-18 18:15Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-18?BUY0.7899999905$10.00
10-09 19:04Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETBUY0.99$4.95
10-09 18:57Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETBUY0.99$4.95
10-09 18:57Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETBUY0.99$4.95
10-09 18:54Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ETBUY0.99$4.95
10-09 18:43Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETBUY0.9799998852$4.95
10-09 18:36Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETBUY0.99$4.95