sarahcarlson-259
0x0562a737ef0c7f37c40bda38071567a46b5ef02c
- Realised P&L
- $55.77
- Volume
- $10.9k
- Markets traded
- 81
- Open portfolio
- $19.71
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded81
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration65.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 7? · Yes | 0.860 | 0.968 | $19.71 | +$2.19 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$82.96at 0.280Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
- +$28.25at 0.549Will Daniel Noboa win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election?
- +$23.13at 0.540Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?
- +$8.29at 0.500Will Real Madrid win La Liga?
- +$5.04at 0.999Will Solana dip to $100 in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 14:04 | Will Hyperliquid hit $38 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.40 |
| 01-30 15:34 | Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January? | BUY | 0.998 | $6.18 |
| 01-30 14:47 | Will Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $24.42 |
| 01-30 13:11 | Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $54.42 |
| 12-30 08:55 | Will Trump pardon Bob Menendez in 2025? | BUY | 0.9979998688 | $6.04 |
| 12-30 08:55 | Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $24.04 |
| 12-30 00:35 | Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025? | BUY | 0.9969999997 | $6.95 |
| 12-29 23:49 | Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.12 |
| 12-29 22:10 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $36.06 |
| 10-30 20:51 | Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $26.55 |
| 10-30 19:38 | Will Google have the second best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $21.93 |
| 10-30 18:46 | Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October? | BUY | 0.9989999723 | $27.22 |
| 09-29 17:26 | Will Ethereum reach $5000 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $18.73 |
| 09-29 12:18 | Will Mistral AI have the second best AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $16.69 |
| 09-29 03:56 | Will Solana reach $270 in September? | BUY | 0.996 | $18.13 |