HokiHoki
0x055ed4bb75a38bef72972023758eb5db55b8de32
- Realised P&L
- $-376.99
- Volume
- $317.6k
- Markets traded
- 1,180
- Open portfolio
- $3.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,180
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration20.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$134.11at 0.603US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
- +$132.83at 0.660Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
- +$88.32at 0.340Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?
- +$80.43at 0.831Will Elon tweet 470 or more times August 8–August 15?
- +$78.86at 0.751US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 22:20 | Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.0049019608 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 22:49 | Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $1.44 |
| 10-31 22:45 | Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.0497244 | $2.49 |
| 10-31 10:24 | Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 10:23 | Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? | SELL | 0.0114858994 | $1.91 |
| 10-31 10:22 | Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.007 | $2.98 |
| 10-31 10:20 | Will CZ post 100-119 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.0229999999 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 00:41 | Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 22:55 | Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 01:59 | Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.70 |
| 06-14 22:47 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999163 | $2.00 |
| 06-14 22:47 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.20 |
| 06-14 22:47 | Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.47 |
| 06-14 22:47 | Jimmy Lai released by June 30? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.57 |
| 06-14 22:13 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.239999964 | $4.00 |