SebastienFolin
0x0558909a4fb519ac3a1bb9b0b758568535e72868
- Realised P&L
- $139.54
- Volume
- $259.4k
- Markets traded
- 3,807
- Open portfolio
- $2.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,807
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration5.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration3.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.14at 0.971Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on May 24?
- +$1.58at 0.989Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on June 17?
- +$1.52at 0.995Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18?
- +$1.18at 0.992Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on June 15?
- +$1.14at 0.981Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on September 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 00:29 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.998 | $20.97 |
| 09-16 23:57 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.997 | $79.76 |
| 09-16 23:15 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.998 | $19.96 |
| 09-16 23:01 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.996 | $19.92 |
| 09-16 23:01 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.99 | $0.22 |
| 09-16 22:47 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.998 | $42.43 |
| 09-16 22:32 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on September 16? | BUY | 0.997 | $29.36 |
| 09-16 22:28 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on September 16? | BUY | 0.99 | $3.23 |
| 09-16 22:08 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.998 | $18.11 |
| 09-16 22:08 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.99 | $55.99 |
| 09-16 22:08 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.998 | $77.89 |
| 09-16 22:08 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.99 | $59.40 |
| 09-16 22:03 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.99 |
| 09-16 22:03 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.99 |
| 09-16 22:03 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.99 |