PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

SebastienFolin

0x0558909a4fb519ac3a1bb9b0b758568535e72868

Realised P&L
$139.54
Volume
$259.4k
Markets traded
3,807
Open portfolio
$2.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,807
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration5.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration3.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on September 16? · No0.9981.000$80.00+$0.16
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 16? · Yes0.9981.000$80.00+$0.16
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 16? · Yes0.9981.000$80.00+$0.16
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on September 16? · No0.9961.000$80.00+$0.33
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on September 16? · Yes0.9981.000$80.00+$0.16
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on September 16? · No0.9921.000$80.00+$0.64
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 16? · Yes0.9981.000$80.00+$0.16
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 16? · Yes0.9921.000$80.00+$0.68
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on September 16? · Yes0.9981.000$80.00+$0.16
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on September 16? · No0.9981.000$80.00+$0.19
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 16? · No0.9971.000$80.00+$0.24
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on September 16? · No0.9961.000$80.00+$0.35
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on September 16? · No0.9951.000$80.00+$0.40
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on September 16? · No0.9981.000$80.00+$0.16
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on September 16? · Yes0.9981.000$79.96+$0.12

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 00:29Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on September 16?BUY0.998$20.97
09-16 23:57Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on September 16?BUY0.997$79.76
09-16 23:15Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 16?BUY0.998$19.96
09-16 23:01Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 16?BUY0.996$19.92
09-16 23:01Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 16?BUY0.99$0.22
09-16 22:47Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on September 16?BUY0.998$42.43
09-16 22:32Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on September 16?BUY0.997$29.36
09-16 22:28Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on September 16?BUY0.99$3.23
09-16 22:08Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on September 16?BUY0.998$18.11
09-16 22:08Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 16?BUY0.99$55.99
09-16 22:08Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 16?BUY0.998$77.89
09-16 22:08Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 16?BUY0.99$59.40
09-16 22:03Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 16?BUY0.998$5.99
09-16 22:03Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 16?BUY0.998$5.99
09-16 22:03Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on September 16?BUY0.998$5.99