0x055654fe43e8b5f5da52a0b262e0d71365a76013
0x055654fe43e8b5f5da52a0b262e0d71365a76013
- Realised P&L
- $5.47
- Volume
- $192.11
- Markets traded
- 88
- Open portfolio
- $30.36
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded88
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration3.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colts vs. Commanders · Colts | 0.670 | 0.725 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
| Will the Miami Heat make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.675 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Broncos vs. 49ers · 49ers | 0.580 | 0.585 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No | 0.990 | 0.999 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.114 | 0.114 | $1.00 | −$0.00 |
| Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · Yes | 0.880 | 0.875 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will the Detroit Pistons make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · Yes | 0.830 | 0.825 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Dolphins vs. Vikings · Vikings | 0.830 | 0.825 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Pelicans vs. Thunder · Thunder | 0.760 | 0.755 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will the Toronto Raptors make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.745 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Patriots vs. Bills · Bills | 0.740 | 0.735 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Chiefs vs. Raiders · Chiefs | 0.670 | 0.665 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Timberwolves vs. Bucks · Timberwolves | 0.650 | 0.645 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Jets vs. Bears · Bears | 0.640 | 0.635 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Jaguars vs. Bengals · Bengals | 0.570 | 0.565 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.98at 0.205UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
- +$3.46at 0.597Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$2.43at 0.296Will Joshua Van win by KO or TKO?
- +$2.43at 0.296Fight to Go the Distance?
- +$1.35at 0.749UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 12:39 | Cowboys vs. Texans | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 12:39 | Broncos vs. 49ers | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 12:39 | Rams vs. Eagles | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 12:39 | Jaguars vs. Bengals | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 12:38 | Jets vs. Bears | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 12:38 | Chiefs vs. Raiders | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 12:38 | Cardinals vs. Giants | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 12:38 | Packers vs. Buccaneers | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 12:37 | Patriots vs. Bills | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 12:33 | Colts Team Total: O/U 10.5 | BUY | 0.97 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 12:33 | Colts vs. Commanders | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 12:32 | Will the Miami Heat make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 12:32 | Will the Detroit Pistons make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? | BUY | 0.829999502 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 12:32 | Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? | BUY | 0.8799999648 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 12:31 | Will the Toronto Raptors make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |