avasthibangalore
0x054212f0d9a059b2faf0d9280a01b8ad03d63b28
- Realised P&L
- $6.52
- Volume
- $54.08
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $1.40
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar12.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration85.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.545 | $1.40 | +$0.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.55at 0.649Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 28, 2026?
- +$0.97at 0.440Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 28, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 20:03 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 17:34 | Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.86 | $2.00 |
| 09-28 17:34 | Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $20.85 |
| 09-27 19:39 | Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 19:38 | Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $15.00 |