0x053bdc51f6a66318f8c37bffcb3fe0bed80f65e9
0x053bdc51f6a66318f8c37bffcb3fe0bed80f65e9
- Realised P&L
- $-32.45
- Volume
- $7.7k
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $74.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.00at 0.500Will the St. Louis Blues record 90+ points?
- +$0.00at 0.510Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 28, 2026?
- +$-0.01at 0.790Will Lionel Messi score 11+ goals during the 2027 MLS Sprint Season window?
- +$-0.10at 0.059Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?
- +$-0.15at 0.200Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 02:07 | Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.055 | $0.44 |
| 10-01 02:00 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | SELL | 0.026 | $2.52 |
| 10-01 01:58 | Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.055 | $0.66 |
| 10-01 01:55 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | SELL | 0.026 | $3.98 |
| 10-01 01:53 | Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.008 | $1.74 |
| 10-01 01:51 | Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.98 |
| 10-01 01:45 | Will Florida Gators win the 2027 CFP National Championship? | SELL | 0.058 | $6.79 |
| 10-01 01:43 | Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.057 | $1.14 |
| 10-01 01:43 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.007 | $3.01 |
| 10-01 01:42 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.96 |
| 10-01 01:40 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.028 | $7.00 |
| 10-01 01:39 | Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $0.12 |
| 10-01 01:38 | Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.009 | $3.06 |
| 10-01 01:18 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.58 |
| 10-01 01:16 | Will Florida Gators win the 2027 CFP National Championship? | SELL | 0.058 | $2.90 |