PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x05314e68872ec108815c5d0a90420342f73f8f88

Realised P&L
$1.45
Volume
$41.70
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$11.88

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration33.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 00:38Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference?BUY0.4299999498$1.20
09-16 00:01Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?BUY0.75$1.20
09-15 15:37Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $256 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.3869998994$1.20
09-14 18:43Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.419999979$1.20
09-14 10:43Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.759999696$1.20
09-14 02:20Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $117.50 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.4899999183$1.20
09-13 18:20Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?BUY0.6699999163$1.20
09-11 19:39Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 15, 2026?BUY0.64$1.20
09-11 03:53Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $170 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.48$1.20
09-10 18:04Will Trump say "Radical Left" during RNC Convention?BUY0.3$1.20
09-10 08:39S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 10?BUY0.6799999547$1.20
09-09 22:51Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?BUY0.3399999773$1.20
09-09 13:12Will Trump say "America First" during RNC Convention?BUY0.6099998373$1.20
09-09 02:11US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.4099998975$1.20
09-08 15:22US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?BUY0.359999928$1.20