PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Mumo16

0x0529a222c749309dc1b67db5b966cf81dd99cd38

Realised P&L
$-32.08
Volume
$19.4k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$14.63

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration47.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration80.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1700.029$11.74$58.26
Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0130.002$2.35$17.65
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.1100.003$0.55$19.45
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$27.00
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$29.86
New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-26 19:16Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?SELL0.324$50.22
01-25 23:08Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?SELL0.2488807209$401.33
01-19 02:31Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?BUY0.2539941079$347.00
01-14 20:34US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?SELL0.4761345535$140.48
01-14 20:19Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?SELL0.19$110.83
01-13 23:03US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?BUY0.3389154689$100.00
01-13 18:48Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?BUY0.2399999988$140.00
01-13 18:46Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?BUY0.1299480188$50.00
01-13 18:46Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?BUY0.2029612724$50.00
01-13 18:45Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?SELL0.76$136.40
01-13 17:52Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?BUY0.7799999997$140.00
01-13 17:49Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?SELL0.22$140.00
01-13 01:15Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?SELL0.09$100.00
01-11 22:20Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.1699999983$70.00
01-09 10:46Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?BUY0.004$12.00