Mumo16
0x0529a222c749309dc1b67db5b966cf81dd99cd38
- Realised P&L
- $-32.08
- Volume
- $19.4k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $14.63
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration47.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.029 | $11.74 | −$58.26 |
| Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.002 | $2.35 | −$17.65 |
| Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.003 | $0.55 | −$19.45 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.00 |
| Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$29.86 |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$40.83at 0.240Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
- +$40.48at 0.339US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?
- +$4.32at 0.246Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.090Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?
- +$-1.92at 0.520Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-26 19:16 | Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? | SELL | 0.324 | $50.22 |
| 01-25 23:08 | Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026? | SELL | 0.2488807209 | $401.33 |
| 01-19 02:31 | Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026? | BUY | 0.2539941079 | $347.00 |
| 01-14 20:34 | US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026? | SELL | 0.4761345535 | $140.48 |
| 01-14 20:19 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | SELL | 0.19 | $110.83 |
| 01-13 23:03 | US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.3389154689 | $100.00 |
| 01-13 18:48 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BUY | 0.2399999988 | $140.00 |
| 01-13 18:46 | Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? | BUY | 0.1299480188 | $50.00 |
| 01-13 18:46 | Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026? | BUY | 0.2029612724 | $50.00 |
| 01-13 18:45 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | SELL | 0.76 | $136.40 |
| 01-13 17:52 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BUY | 0.7799999997 | $140.00 |
| 01-13 17:49 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | SELL | 0.22 | $140.00 |
| 01-13 01:15 | Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31? | SELL | 0.09 | $100.00 |
| 01-11 22:20 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $70.00 |
| 01-09 10:46 | Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday? | BUY | 0.004 | $12.00 |