0x0526fcfd8e931aa42264a6c8aafe5be2267c176c
0x0526fcfd8e931aa42264a6c8aafe5be2267c176c
- Realised P&L
- $-1.21
- Volume
- $146.55
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $3.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.525 | $2.10 | +$1.10 |
| Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 Week of September 28 2026? · No | 0.310 | 0.490 | $1.58 | +$0.58 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 Week of September 28 2026? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.060 | $0.09 | −$0.91 |
| Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 29, 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.005 | $0.02 | −$1.28 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.28at 0.369Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $335 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$2.21at 0.370Will Iran target an Arab country by August 31, 2026?
- +$2.18at 0.379Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$2.00at 0.400Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 Week of August 24 2026?
- +$1.92at 0.410Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of September 7 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 05:44 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 18:21 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 10:17 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 01:29 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 05:28 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 21:28 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 13:15 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $186 in September? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 03:04 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 10:55 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $120 in September? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 09:23 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 10:46 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999483 | $1.30 |
| 09-23 02:29 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $790 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.76 | $1.30 |
| 09-22 18:26 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4499999827 | $1.30 |
| 09-20 21:56 | Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $75 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.65 | $1.30 |
| 09-19 11:00 | Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.6699998351 | $1.30 |