anthonymcdaniel
0x05208931d43f67e75e14c60ea8ea5895fac72a8a
- Realised P&L
- $-149.13
- Volume
- $11.9k
- Markets traded
- 89
- Open portfolio
- $71.68
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded89
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration77.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%? · No | 0.570 | 0.965 | $41.01 | +$16.79 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting? · No | 0.680 | 0.750 | $18.02 | +$1.68 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Attorney General election? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.795 | $12.65 | +$0.56 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$72.69at 0.530Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?
- +$8.83at 0.660Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in scoring?
- +$5.57at 0.790Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?
- +$4.84at 0.550Chiefs vs. Seahawks
- +$3.85at 0.790Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 22:36 | Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.9 | $6.37 |
| 01-31 13:39 | Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.984 | $10.85 |
| 01-30 16:19 | Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January? | BUY | 0.998 | $6.09 |
| 01-30 16:14 | Will Opendoor dip to $2.50 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.86 |
| 01-30 14:56 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 in January? | BUY | 0.99899997 | $22.31 |
| 01-30 13:10 | Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $55.36 |
| 12-30 18:17 | Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.88 |
| 12-30 16:33 | Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $6.77 |
| 12-30 11:44 | Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $8.03 |
| 12-29 23:37 | Will Trump pardon Young Thug in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $31.04 |
| 12-29 22:57 | Will XRP reach $3.20 before 2026? | BUY | 0.9979999855 | $17.90 |
| 12-29 21:29 | Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025? | BUY | 0.9989999823 | $42.21 |
| 10-30 20:14 | Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in October? | BUY | 0.9859999997 | $31.16 |
| 10-30 17:41 | Will XRP reach $3.50 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $25.16 |
| 09-29 12:38 | Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.996 | $11.76 |