0x05160a749A4d766dAb48522BBc95537A5733f1F5-1739084683810
0x05160a749a4d766dab48522bbc95537a5733f1f5
- Realised P&L
- $-173.52
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 166
- Open portfolio
- $4.86
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded166
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration4.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Colts (-6.5) · Colts | 0.550 | 0.535 | $4.86 | −$0.14 |
| Spread: Lions (-7.5) · Lions | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.60 |
| Spread: 49ers (-2.5) · Broncos | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.90 |
| Spread: Patriots (-7.5) · Giants | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.40 |
| Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev · Flavio Cobolli | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
| Spread: Dolphins (-2.5) · Jets | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Spread: Patriots (-7.5) · Titans | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.80 |
| Spread: Texans (-2.5) · Texans | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.60 |
| Spread: Eagles (-7.5) · Giants | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.40 |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5) · Buccaneers | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.20 |
| Spread: Seahawks (-3.5) · Texans | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.30 |
| Spread: Indiana (-7.5) · Indiana | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.90 |
| Spread: Bengals (-7.5) · Bengals | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.40 |
| Spread: Eagles (-4.5) · Eagles | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.40 |
| Spread: Saints (-1.5) · Saints | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.09at 0.230Will Jalen Hurts win Super Bowl LIX MVP?
- +$19.09at 0.440Will the Indiana Pacers win the Eastern Conference?
- +$13.12at 0.590Warriors vs. Rockets
- +$9.80at 0.510Spread: Patriots (-5.5)
- +$9.80at 0.510Will Patrick Mahomes record 253 or more passing yards in Super Bowl LIX?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 11:17 | Spread: Colts (-6.5) | BUY | 0.549999956 | $5.00 |
| 10-11 06:26 | Spread: Steelers (-2.5) | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $4.00 |
| 10-10 17:24 | Spread: Commanders (-3.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $4.00 |
| 10-07 12:51 | Spread: Seahawks (-2.5) | BUY | 0.5599999496 | $4.00 |
| 10-07 12:06 | Vikings vs. Saints | BUY | 0.4499999775 | $3.00 |
| 10-04 16:47 | Spread: Vikings (-10.5) | BUY | 0.549999945 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 15:19 | Spread: Bills (-6.5) | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $5.00 |
| 10-02 12:58 | Spread: Texans (-2.5) | BUY | 0.56 | $5.60 |
| 10-02 12:57 | Spread: Bengals (-2.5) | BUY | 0.53 | $5.30 |
| 10-02 12:54 | Spread: 49ers (-2.5) | BUY | 0.49 | $4.90 |
| 10-01 18:04 | Spread: Steelers (-2.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $3.00 |
| 09-27 16:06 | Spread: Panthers (-2.5) | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $5.00 |
| 09-27 16:05 | Spread: Ravens (-3.5) | BUY | 0.4799999846 | $5.00 |
| 09-27 16:03 | Spread: 49ers (-7.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 09-27 15:26 | Spread: Texans (-2.5) | BUY | 0.5299999587 | $5.00 |