IvanichJeka
0x050e1428416d0679230e6c3c5a4a17ba2c309ac6
- Realised P&L
- $-636.20
- Volume
- $46.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,307
- Open portfolio
- $3.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,307
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration6.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.36at 0.740Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?
- +$18.01at 0.341Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
- +$14.38at 0.329Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
- +$14.21at 0.063Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
- +$13.96at 0.130Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 09:18 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.37 | $3.70 |
| 09-25 07:53 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 09-25 06:49 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.98 | $9.90 |
| 09-25 05:11 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 09-25 04:25 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.8 | $8.00 |
| 09-25 03:46 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.135 | $1.35 |
| 09-25 03:43 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.67 | $6.70 |
| 09-25 03:36 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 09-25 01:17 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.82 | $8.20 |
| 09-25 01:06 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.81 | $8.10 |
| 09-25 01:01 | Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 26°C or higher on September 25? | BUY | 0.8 | $8.00 |
| 09-25 01:01 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.8113228026 | $8.20 |
| 09-25 01:01 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.82 | $8.20 |
| 09-25 00:03 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.81 | $8.10 |
| 09-24 22:08 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on September 24? | SELL | 0.9599108028 | $9.69 |