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0x0509d64aac136cbc253b7e208e4bacfe6c786e98
- Realised P&L
- $-18.9k
- Volume
- $2.63M
- Markets traded
- 1,852
- Open portfolio
- $29.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,852
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration21.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.0kat 0.258Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
- +$13.9kat 0.039Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
- +$9.7kat 0.090Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$8.2kat 0.066Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
- +$6.4kat 0.100Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 16:23 | Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.998 | $0.27 |
| 10-13 16:22 | Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.9k |
| 10-04 13:08 | Spread: Colts (-4.5) | BUY | 0.51 | $102.00 |
| 10-04 00:31 | Baylor vs. Arizona State: O/U 53.5 | BUY | 0.63 | $31.50 |
| 10-03 12:23 | Spread: South Carolina (-2.5) | BUY | 0.49 | $24.50 |
| 10-02 17:24 | Patriots vs. Bills: O/U 49.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $25.00 |
| 10-01 23:40 | Spread: Steelers (-2.5) | BUY | 0.54 | $269.99 |
| 09-22 15:52 | Will Buffalo Bills win the 2026 AFC East? | BUY | 0.68 | $13.60 |
| 09-22 15:48 | Will San Francisco 49ers win the 2026 NFC West? | BUY | 0.36 | $7.20 |
| 09-22 15:37 | Will Buffalo Bills win the 2026 AFC East? | BUY | 0.68 | $13.60 |
| 09-22 15:35 | Will Buffalo Bills win the 2026 AFC East? | BUY | 0.68 | $13.60 |
| 09-22 15:30 | Will Buffalo Bills win the 2026 AFC East? | BUY | 0.68 | $13.60 |
| 09-22 15:16 | Will Buffalo Bills win the 2026 AFC East? | BUY | 0.68 | $13.60 |
| 09-22 14:48 | Will San Francisco 49ers win the 2026 NFC West? | BUY | 0.36 | $7.20 |
| 09-21 23:57 | Darnell Mooney: 2+ Touchdowns | BUY | 0.007 | $3.50 |