0x05068a5c2
0x05068a5c2e385b12c5cddfaa91ee04568471bc49
- Realised P&L
- $-427.26
- Volume
- $30.6k
- Markets traded
- 1,804
- Open portfolio
- $18.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,804
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$68.96at 0.101Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 108-109°F on July 22?
- +$46.41at 0.228Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on August 22?
- +$28.22at 0.427Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 19?
- +$26.91at 0.532Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 8?
- +$23.07at 0.498Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on September 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 06:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 27°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.44 | $2.35 |
| 09-19 03:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.55 | $2.95 |
| 09-18 12:35 | Will the lowest temperature in Panama City be 26°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 11:40 | Will the lowest temperature in Panama City be 26°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 08:13 | Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.4716384915 | $7.25 |
| 09-18 07:49 | Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 27°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 09-18 06:11 | Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 27°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.5415963303 | $2.95 |
| 09-18 03:11 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.43 | $2.93 |
| 09-18 02:00 | Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 28°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.72 | $4.93 |
| 09-17 08:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.94 |
| 09-17 03:11 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.45 | $2.93 |
| 09-16 12:40 | Will the lowest temperature in Panama City be 26°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 08:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.4206763285 | $4.35 |
| 09-16 06:13 | Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 27°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.48 | $2.76 |
| 09-16 03:11 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.45 | $2.93 |