millcity22
0x05032147cd72109a4a76870e57455ade78494eca
- Realised P&L
- $-49.92
- Volume
- $523.11
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $18.09
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration80.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-01 House election by 15%-20%? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.245 | $10.76 | +$5.49 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-01 House election by 30%-35%? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.119 | $4.14 | +$2.40 |
| Will Sabrina Carpenter have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? · Yes | 0.141 | 0.205 | $3.18 | +$0.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.56at 0.249Will "All of a Sudden" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
- +$0.36at 0.913Databricks IPO before 2027?
- +$0.23at 0.321Will Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?
- +$0.03at 0.093Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-08 House election by 15%-20%?
- +$-0.06at 0.795Will Hull City finish in last place in the 2026-27 English Premier League season?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 02:02 | Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026-27 NHL Presidents' Trophy? | SELL | 0.84 | $12.60 |
| 10-12 00:20 | Will Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League? | SELL | 0.34 | $0.18 |
| 10-12 00:16 | Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026-27 NHL Presidents' Trophy? | BUY | 0.84 | $4.20 |
| 10-12 00:07 | Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026-27 NHL Presidents' Trophy? | BUY | 0.839 | $8.39 |
| 10-12 00:02 | Will Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League? | SELL | 0.345625 | $5.70 |
| 10-12 00:00 | Will Sabrina Carpenter have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? | SELL | 0.19 | $1.52 |
| 10-07 01:25 | Will Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League? | BUY | 0.31 | $5.27 |
| 10-02 01:22 | Will Manchester United finish in the top 5 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? | SELL | 0.44 | $0.14 |
| 10-02 01:22 | Will Hull City finish in last place in the 2026-27 English Premier League season? | SELL | 0.71 | $0.59 |
| 10-02 01:21 | Will Hull City finish in last place in the 2026-27 English Premier League season? | SELL | 0.85 | $11.05 |
| 09-30 14:32 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-01 House election by 15%-20%? | BUY | 0.1199999991 | $5.27 |
| 09-30 14:30 | Will Sabrina Carpenter have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? | BUY | 0.1415014124 | $3.33 |
| 09-30 14:28 | Will Monaco win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? | SELL | 0.071 | $1.49 |
| 09-30 14:27 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-08 House election by 15%-20%? | SELL | 0.1 | $1.10 |
| 09-30 14:25 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-01 House election by 30%-35%? | SELL | 0.14 | $0.14 |