PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

millcity22

0x05032147cd72109a4a76870e57455ade78494eca

Realised P&L
$-49.92
Volume
$523.11
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$18.09

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-9.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration80.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration59.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-01 House election by 15%-20%? · Yes0.1200.245$10.76+$5.49
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-01 House election by 30%-35%? · Yes0.0500.119$4.14+$2.40
Will Sabrina Carpenter have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? · Yes0.1410.205$3.18+$0.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 02:02Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026-27 NHL Presidents' Trophy?SELL0.84$12.60
10-12 00:20Will Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?SELL0.34$0.18
10-12 00:16Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026-27 NHL Presidents' Trophy?BUY0.84$4.20
10-12 00:07Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026-27 NHL Presidents' Trophy?BUY0.839$8.39
10-12 00:02Will Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?SELL0.345625$5.70
10-12 00:00Will Sabrina Carpenter have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?SELL0.19$1.52
10-07 01:25Will Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?BUY0.31$5.27
10-02 01:22Will Manchester United finish in the top 5 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?SELL0.44$0.14
10-02 01:22Will Hull City finish in last place in the 2026-27 English Premier League season?SELL0.71$0.59
10-02 01:21Will Hull City finish in last place in the 2026-27 English Premier League season?SELL0.85$11.05
09-30 14:32Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-01 House election by 15%-20%?BUY0.1199999991$5.27
09-30 14:30Will Sabrina Carpenter have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?BUY0.1415014124$3.33
09-30 14:28Will Monaco win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?SELL0.071$1.49
09-30 14:27Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-08 House election by 15%-20%?SELL0.1$1.10
09-30 14:25Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-01 House election by 30%-35%?SELL0.14$0.14