millcity22
0x05032147cd72109a4a76870e57455ade78494eca
- Realised P&L
- $-50.44
- Volume
- $243.72
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $21.70
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-20.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hull City finish in last place in the 2026-27 English Premier League season? · No | 0.786 | 0.785 | $10.86 | −$0.02 |
| Will "All of a Sudden" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.275 | $6.02 | +$0.77 |
| Will Manchester United finish in the top 5 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.485 | $3.55 | −$0.11 |
| Will Monaco win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? · Yes | 0.085 | 0.059 | $1.28 | −$0.55 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.36at 0.913Databricks IPO before 2027?
- +$-0.07at 0.837Will Leeds United finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?
- +$-0.11at 0.154Discord IPO before 2027?
- +$-0.18at 0.270Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)
- +$-0.40at 0.052Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 01:29 | Databricks IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.941 | $0.59 |
| 09-15 01:22 | Will "All of a Sudden" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.24 | $5.25 |
| 09-15 01:09 | Will Manchester United finish in the top 5 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? | BUY | 0.5 | $3.66 |
| 09-14 02:05 | Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.01 |
| 09-14 02:05 | Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5) | SELL | 0.24 | $1.12 |
| 09-14 02:03 | Discord IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.149 | $1.67 |
| 09-14 01:49 | Will Hull City finish in last place in the 2026-27 English Premier League season? | SELL | 0.72 | $0.72 |
| 09-14 01:49 | Will Hull City finish in last place in the 2026-27 English Premier League season? | SELL | 0.72 | $0.72 |
| 09-14 01:47 | Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.33 |
| 09-14 01:43 | Will Hull City finish in last place in the 2026-27 English Premier League season? | BUY | 0.8099999833 | $7.78 |
| 09-14 01:28 | Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.40 |
| 09-12 03:03 | Will Hull City finish in last place in the 2026-27 English Premier League season? | SELL | 0.66 | $2.64 |
| 09-12 02:50 | Will Monaco win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? | BUY | 0.0849999991 | $1.83 |
| 09-12 02:46 | Databricks IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.95 | $9.50 |
| 09-11 01:50 | Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5) | BUY | 0.2599999527 | $1.21 |