PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

thearbi

0x05031e18eb1db614e93ca54f5e2a006ff816db3d

Realised P&L
$-8.8k
Volume
$377.0k
Markets traded
254
Open portfolio
$1.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded254
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4080.220$628.66$536.87
Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.3310.270$542.73$121.70
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.0820.080$395.91$14.92
Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2500.265$118.10+$6.68
LAPTOP listed on Coinbase within 30 days of TGE? · Yes0.0720.045$42.54$26.08
Makina FDV above $80M one day after launch? · Yes0.4900.155$15.50$33.50
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No0.9430.934$5.06$0.05
LAPTOP listed on Bybit within 30 days of TGE? · Yes0.0500.045$4.50$0.50
LAPTOP listed on OKX within 30 days of TGE? · Yes0.0500.029$2.95$2.05
Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0400.028$0.29$0.13
Nexus FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.0200.000$0.00$40.00
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$4.00
Over $30M committed to the RipCars public sale? · No0.0360.000$0.00$6.79
Nexus FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.0150.000$0.00$15.00
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-10 20:00LAPTOP FDV above $350M one day after launch?BUY0.999$999.00
09-09 14:14LAPTOP listed on Kraken within 30 days of TGE?BUY0.97$116.40
09-09 14:01Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026?SELL0.972$126.36
09-09 13:35Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026?BUY0.94$13.16
09-09 13:34Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026?BUY0.95$104.50
09-09 13:34Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026?BUY0.94$9.40
09-09 11:34LAPTOP listed on Coinbase within 30 days of TGE?SELL0.41$30.75
09-09 00:03Over $15M committed to the Linera public sale?BUY0.999$79.92
09-09 00:02Over $6M committed to the Linera public sale?BUY0.997$99.70
09-09 00:02Over $8M committed to the Linera public sale?BUY0.998$153.69
09-09 00:02Over $10M committed to the Linera public sale?BUY0.998$259.48
09-09 00:01Over $30M committed to the Linera public sale?BUY0.999$99.90
09-09 00:01Over $50M committed to the Linera public sale?BUY0.999$99.90
09-09 00:01Over $1M committed to the Linera public sale?BUY0.989$22.49
09-09 00:00Over $2M committed to the Linera public sale?BUY0.994$99.40