thearbi
0x05031e18eb1db614e93ca54f5e2a006ff816db3d
- Realised P&L
- $-8.8k
- Volume
- $377.0k
- Markets traded
- 254
- Open portfolio
- $1.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded254
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.500Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrievers
- +$1.1kat 0.530MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in 15 minutes?
- +$907.45at 0.749Over $80M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
- +$815.63at 0.195Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale?
- +$625.51at 0.395Over $2M committed to the Makina public sale?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 20:00 | LAPTOP FDV above $350M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.999 | $999.00 |
| 09-09 14:14 | LAPTOP listed on Kraken within 30 days of TGE? | BUY | 0.97 | $116.40 |
| 09-09 14:01 | Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.972 | $126.36 |
| 09-09 13:35 | Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $13.16 |
| 09-09 13:34 | Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $104.50 |
| 09-09 13:34 | Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $9.40 |
| 09-09 11:34 | LAPTOP listed on Coinbase within 30 days of TGE? | SELL | 0.41 | $30.75 |
| 09-09 00:03 | Over $15M committed to the Linera public sale? | BUY | 0.999 | $79.92 |
| 09-09 00:02 | Over $6M committed to the Linera public sale? | BUY | 0.997 | $99.70 |
| 09-09 00:02 | Over $8M committed to the Linera public sale? | BUY | 0.998 | $153.69 |
| 09-09 00:02 | Over $10M committed to the Linera public sale? | BUY | 0.998 | $259.48 |
| 09-09 00:01 | Over $30M committed to the Linera public sale? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 09-09 00:01 | Over $50M committed to the Linera public sale? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 09-09 00:01 | Over $1M committed to the Linera public sale? | BUY | 0.989 | $22.49 |
| 09-09 00:00 | Over $2M committed to the Linera public sale? | BUY | 0.994 | $99.40 |