kingminer001
0x04faa2db0a8f414505f899f995cd566531b3f43f
- Realised P&L
- $790.31
- Volume
- $58.3k
- Markets traded
- 109
- Open portfolio
- $3.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded109
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.973 | 0.984 | $775.01 | +$8.46 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.983 | 0.992 | $677.93 | +$5.81 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.985 | 0.995 | $497.50 | +$5.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.983 | 0.994 | $496.75 | +$5.25 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.987 | 0.989 | $494.25 | +$0.75 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.930 | 0.981 | $98.05 | +$5.05 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.840 | 0.725 | $72.50 | −$11.50 |
| Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027? · No | 0.860 | 0.985 | $32.74 | +$4.14 |
| Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2027? · No | 0.740 | 0.890 | $28.48 | +$4.80 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.957 | 0.974 | $9.54 | +$0.16 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET · Down | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$500.00at 0.500Will CZ post 20-39 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
- +$108.20at 0.951Will Bitcoin hit $150k by March 31, 2026?
- +$107.26at 0.974Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$94.15at 0.898Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?
- +$67.33at 0.986Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 08:50 | Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.972 | $571.54 |
| 07-19 20:45 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.3842180594 | $91.27 |
| 07-15 05:54 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2 | $47.51 |
| 07-04 03:44 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6539999989 | $31.92 |
| 06-27 07:28 | Will June be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.9979999747 | $30.00 |
| 06-22 15:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 06-20 09:12 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.98 | $2.2k |
| 06-09 11:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET | SELL | 0.33 | $4.46 |
| 06-09 11:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET | BUY | 0.4399999648 | $5.00 |
| 06-09 11:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET | BUY | 0.4599997608 | $1.00 |
| 05-08 02:57 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.986999975 | $16.00 |
| 05-07 02:48 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.985 | $600.93 |
| 03-17 15:56 | Will January be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.9869999999 | $148.60 |
| 03-02 10:36 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March? | BUY | 0.996 | $103.50 |
| 03-02 10:35 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.9149492851 | $105.00 |