Ayrton-Carlos-247
0x04f9d3e2d81469167d14e06781ca52c835a1eac7
- Realised P&L
- $-408.83
- Volume
- $10.8k
- Markets traded
- 364
- Open portfolio
- $82.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded364
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$97.20at 0.408Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-25?
- +$45.99at 0.706Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?
- +$35.34at 0.394Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?
- +$29.87at 0.462Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31?
- +$28.19at 0.422Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 20:45 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.6899999963 | $100.00 |
| 10-31 20:10 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.5099999906 | $20.00 |
| 10-31 19:18 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.4799999962 | $20.00 |
| 10-31 16:55 | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.5799999992 | $15.00 |
| 10-31 16:44 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.4599999986 | $20.00 |
| 10-31 16:40 | Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $16.00 |
| 10-31 12:30 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.449999964 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 12:30 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.4499999944 | $20.00 |
| 10-28 19:06 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-28? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 10-28 19:05 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-28? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $5.00 |
| 10-27 18:12 | Will Al Hilal SFC win on 2026-10-27? | BUY | 0.5099999906 | $20.00 |
| 10-25 16:35 | Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-25? | BUY | 0.3699999867 | $5.00 |
| 10-25 16:33 | Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-25? | BUY | 0.3499999948 | $10.00 |
| 10-25 15:35 | Will Brentford FC win on 2026-10-25? | SELL | 0.31 | $6.76 |
| 10-25 14:11 | Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-25? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $5.00 |