0x04f8ade42a9ee09d0e5af0e0ea50d5f7018091f0
- Realised P&L
- $-21.40
- Volume
- $2.6k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $76.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.505 | $50.50 | +$0.50 |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.245 | $26.46 | −$0.54 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$35.40at 0.749Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-16?
- +$23.14at 0.789Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-26?
- +$15.56at 0.840Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-27?
- +$9.34at 0.830Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15?
- +$8.37at 0.910Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 14:48 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $27.00 |
| 09-17 14:46 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.5 | $50.00 |
| 09-16 14:19 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.709999998 | $100.00 |
| 09-14 07:36 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.7899999976 | $43.39 |
| 09-01 19:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET | SELL | 0.04 | $4.20 |
| 09-01 19:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET | BUY | 0.71 | $74.54 |
| 09-01 19:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET | SELL | 0.95 | $104.14 |
| 09-01 19:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET | BUY | 0.912229627 | $100.00 |
| 08-27 21:36 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-27? | SELL | 0.999 | $130.65 |
| 08-27 16:21 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-27? | BUY | 0.8 | $104.63 |
| 08-25 19:42 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-26? | BUY | 0.75 | $82.40 |
| 08-24 20:02 | Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-08-24? | BUY | 0.55 | $100.00 |
| 08-24 04:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $107.60 |
| 08-24 04:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET | SELL | 0.1868020162 | $6.67 |
| 08-24 04:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET | BUY | 0.92 | $100.00 |