RiverBlues
0x04f66b4db79bc8e27513c705bcfe124eebf39bcd
- Realised P&L
- $87.86
- Volume
- $43.8k
- Markets traded
- 4,069
- Open portfolio
- $252.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,069
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration27.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.77at 0.940Will XRP dip to $1.20 in March?
- +$11.03at 0.475Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 22?
- +$10.83at 0.480US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
- +$10.25at 0.487Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?
- +$8.97at 0.103Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 05:14 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on September 17? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 09-17 05:14 | Will Apple (AAPL) close above $320 on September 17? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 09-17 05:13 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? | BUY | 0.927 | $7.42 |
| 09-17 05:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on September 19? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 09-17 05:10 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 19? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 09-17 05:10 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 19? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 09-17 05:10 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 19? | BUY | 0.9900594839 | $3.77 |
| 09-17 05:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 19? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 09-17 05:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.991 | $9.91 |
| 09-17 05:08 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on September 18? | BUY | 0.99 | $7.92 |
| 09-17 05:07 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 18? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 09-17 05:07 | Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on September 20? | BUY | 0.99 | $7.92 |
| 09-17 05:06 | Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on September 19? | BUY | 0.99 | $11.87 |
| 09-17 05:05 | Will the price of Solana be above $120 on September 19? | BUY | 0.99 | $7.92 |
| 09-17 05:05 | Will the price of Solana be above $90 on September 18? | BUY | 0.988 | $4.93 |