PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

twaptrade1

0x04f51821f8f7efd1675657981cac0a787c548a73

Realised P&L
$275.77
Volume
$6.5k
Markets traded
63
Open portfolio
$31.67

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded63
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample44 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET · Down0.4500.285$31.67$18.33
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET · Up0.5400.000$0.00$30.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 1AM ET · Up0.4900.000$0.00$27.57
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET · Up0.5430.000$0.00$50.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 12AM ET · Down0.5600.000$0.00$120.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET · Up0.5000.000$0.00$50.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET · Up0.5620.000$0.00$30.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 6PM ET · Up0.5000.000$0.00$14.78
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET · Up0.5200.000$0.00$1.98
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET · Down0.5600.000$0.00$30.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 11PM ET · Down0.5100.000$0.00$78.89
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET · Down0.3200.000$0.00$100.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8AM ET · Down0.5000.000$0.00$30.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET · Up0.4700.000$0.00$30.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 10AM ET · Up0.5400.000$0.00$30.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 07:20Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETBUY0.4499999964$50.00
09-18 07:19Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3:15AM-3:20AM ETSELL0.99$215.22
09-18 07:15Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3:15AM-3:20AM ETBUY0.4599999986$100.00
09-18 07:10Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ETBUY0.32$100.00
09-18 07:05Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3:05AM-3:10AM ETBUY0.5$50.00
09-18 07:03Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ETSELL0.99$93.39
09-18 07:00Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ETBUY0.529999998$50.00
09-18 06:59Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2AM ETSELL0.99$563.23
09-18 06:40Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:40AM-2:45AM ETBUY0.5432592388$50.00
09-18 06:23Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:20AM-2:25AM ETSELL0.99$85.34
09-18 06:20Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:20AM-2:25AM ETBUY0.579999997$50.00
09-18 06:19Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:15AM-2:20AM ETSELL0.99$183.55
09-18 06:15Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:15AM-2:20AM ETBUY0.5393637451$100.00
09-18 06:05Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:05AM-2:10AM ETBUY0.589999998$50.00
09-18 06:03Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:00AM-2:05AM ETSELL0.99$88.39