Happy-Go-Lucky-Fur
0x04f1042fcb0178ef593824bd8776dddbc83d5069
- Realised P&L
- $-6.6k
- Volume
- $1.20M
- Markets traded
- 714
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded714
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$695.30at 0.424S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 16?
- +$665.00at 0.140Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by February 28, 2025?
- +$373.37at 0.471Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
- +$308.00at 0.230Will the Republican candidate win Iowa by 10.0% or more?
- +$306.68at 0.503Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 13:39 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on September 29? | BUY | 0.4713804706 | $200.00 |
| 09-29 13:38 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on September 29? | BUY | 0.4868295222 | $400.00 |
| 09-29 13:37 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on September 29? | BUY | 0.4433497528 | $100.00 |
| 09-29 13:36 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on September 29? | BUY | 0.6985862882 | $300.00 |
| 09-18 16:01 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on September 18? | BUY | 0.08 | $8.00 |
| 09-16 14:23 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 16? | BUY | 0.4142419221 | $499.99 |
| 09-15 14:26 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on September 15? | BUY | 0.19 | $7.60 |
| 09-14 19:07 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on September 14? | BUY | 0.1740083277 | $100.00 |
| 09-11 14:26 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on September 11? | BUY | 0.3887269193 | $100.00 |
| 09-05 15:14 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 8? | BUY | 0.51 | $16.98 |
| 09-02 18:31 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on September 2? | BUY | 0.33 | $33.00 |
| 09-02 17:21 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on September 2? | BUY | 0.56 | $56.00 |
| 09-02 13:39 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 2? | SELL | 0.590644 | $295.32 |
| 07-26 12:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET | BUY | 0.5380779832 | $25.00 |
| 07-26 12:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET | BUY | 0.2 | $25.00 |