PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Happy-Go-Lucky-Fur

0x04f1042fcb0178ef593824bd8776dddbc83d5069

Realised P&L
$-6.6k
Volume
$1.20M
Markets traded
714
Open portfolio
$1.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded714
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on September 29? · No0.5260.700$1.3k+$330.65
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET · Up0.1500.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET · Down0.3450.000$0.00−$50.75
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET · Down0.2490.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET · Up0.3500.000$0.00−$20.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3610.000$0.00−$200.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET · Up0.2000.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET · Up0.2750.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET · Down0.5020.000$0.00−$202.04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET · Down0.2300.000$0.00−$1.15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET · Down0.1450.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET · Down0.4430.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1840.000$0.00−$102.00
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on September 15? · No0.1900.000$0.00−$7.60
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET · Down0.2990.000$0.00−$38.47

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-29 13:39S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on September 29?BUY0.4713804706$200.00
09-29 13:38S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on September 29?BUY0.4868295222$400.00
09-29 13:37S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on September 29?BUY0.4433497528$100.00
09-29 13:36S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on September 29?BUY0.6985862882$300.00
09-18 16:01S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on September 18?BUY0.08$8.00
09-16 14:23S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 16?BUY0.4142419221$499.99
09-15 14:26S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on September 15?BUY0.19$7.60
09-14 19:07S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on September 14?BUY0.1740083277$100.00
09-11 14:26S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on September 11?BUY0.3887269193$100.00
09-05 15:14S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 8?BUY0.51$16.98
09-02 18:31S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on September 2?BUY0.33$33.00
09-02 17:21S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on September 2?BUY0.56$56.00
09-02 13:39S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 2?SELL0.590644$295.32
07-26 12:15Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETBUY0.5380779832$25.00
07-26 12:13Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETBUY0.2$25.00