0x04ef5ee65d04b2c1fa31a283b218af8a0f41df85
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 115
- Open portfolio
- $2.11
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- ClearMarkets traded115
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $2,600 November 2-8? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.042 | $1.18 | −$0.52 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 November 2-8? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.075 | $0.93 | −$0.56 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$48.09at 0.374Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?
- +$41.93at 0.538Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 31?
- +$40.86at 0.209Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
- +$29.26at 0.618Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
- +$25.66at 0.262Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 16:05 | Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 November 2-8? | BUY | 0.1199999968 | $1.49 |
| 11-02 15:58 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 November 2-8? | BUY | 0.0599999986 | $1.70 |
| 11-02 14:53 | Exact Score: Chonburi FC 1 - 1 BG Pathum United? | SELL | 0.994 | $3.43 |
| 11-02 12:06 | Exact Score: Chonburi FC 1 - 1 BG Pathum United? | BUY | 0.8799999768 | $3.04 |
| 11-01 22:55 | Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 196.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $3.09 |
| 11-01 15:34 | Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 196.5 | BUY | 0.9299999903 | $2.88 |
| 10-30 16:06 | Hornets vs. Wizards: O/U 217.5 | BUY | 0.5399999297 | $2.15 |
| 10-30 05:04 | New Zealand Breakers vs. Adelaide 36ers: O/U 181.5 | BUY | 0.4699999896 | $3.17 |
| 10-30 03:06 | Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 227.5 | SELL | 0.33 | $3.29 |
| 10-30 03:00 | Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 227.5 | BUY | 0.489999992 | $4.89 |
| 10-30 03:00 | Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 227.5 | BUY | 0.52 | $4.94 |
| 10-30 02:57 | Grêmio FBPA vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $9.92 |
| 10-30 01:13 | Grêmio FBPA vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.2699999949 | $4.24 |
| 10-30 01:13 | Grêmio FBPA vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4587625303 | $4.56 |
| 10-30 00:37 | Exact Score: CA Mineiro 1 - 1 Cruzeiro EC? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.17 |