13gibs
0x04edac2e1b006ccae26d41f56cfed64ad48f8809
- Realised P&L
- $1.6k
- Volume
- $108.6k
- Markets traded
- 7,274
- Open portfolio
- $170.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded7,274
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration26.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$91.25at 0.098Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or below on June 2?
- +$80.50at 0.093Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on April 12?
- +$68.77at 0.178Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on March 29?
- +$67.35at 0.128Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on June 26?
- +$58.20at 0.140Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on April 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 11:07 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.9699999961 | $4.95 |
| 08-08 11:07 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.6777817882 | $4.95 |
| 08-08 11:07 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.5722543353 | $9.90 |
| 08-08 10:22 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.889999982 | $4.95 |
| 08-08 10:21 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.88 | $9.90 |
| 08-08 09:33 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.4564701662 | $4.95 |
| 08-08 09:33 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.4709708523 | $9.90 |
| 08-08 09:32 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.984999999 | $4.95 |
| 08-08 09:32 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 08-08 09:07 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.985 | $6.11 |
| 08-08 09:07 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.998 | $5.25 |
| 08-08 09:07 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.964 | $7.69 |
| 08-08 09:07 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.12 |
| 08-08 08:05 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.95 |
| 08-08 07:40 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |