fpkgvip
0x04ec74bbebf376301e8b4d9b0466328722d4a562
- Realised P&L
- $79.24
- Volume
- $5.9k
- Markets traded
- 137
- Open portfolio
- $82.86
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded137
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$90.37at 0.509Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
- +$74.95at 0.526Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
- +$74.05at 0.617Ethereum Up or Down - February 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
- +$59.14at 0.371XRP Up or Down - February 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
- +$50.51at 0.531Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-02 23:12 | Spread: Hornets (-6.5) | BUY | 0.44 | $2.13 |
| 04-02 10:44 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.20 |
| 04-02 10:43 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.20 |
| 04-02 10:43 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.20 |
| 04-02 10:43 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.20 |
| 03-14 00:08 | Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5) | BUY | 0.76 | $1.52 |
| 02-28 15:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on February 28? | BUY | 0.969 | $4.84 |
| 02-23 18:19 | Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.62 | $3.10 |
| 02-23 18:19 | Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.62 | $3.10 |
| 02-23 18:19 | Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.62 | $3.10 |
| 02-23 00:37 | Spread: Celtics (-1.5) | SELL | 0.66 | $1.32 |
| 02-23 00:36 | Spread: Celtics (-1.5) | SELL | 0.65 | $3.25 |
| 02-22 12:18 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $42.50 |
| 02-22 11:43 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $0.85 |
| 02-22 11:43 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $0.85 |