AtlasMcDwlIntern
0x04ebdbfb193819fa9f84538f4c8f6c1575d436a7
- Realised P&L
- $-5.9k
- Volume
- $437.8k
- Markets traded
- 319
- Open portfolio
- $73.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded319
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Chiefs (-4.5) · Chiefs | 0.540 | 0.145 | $73.84 | −$201.16 |
| Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be greater than 85%? · Yes | 0.049 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance · Netherlands | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$482.00 |
| Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5) · Golden Knights | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.00 |
| Avalanche vs. Golden Knights · Avalanche | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$55.00 |
| Golden Knights vs. Avalanche · Avalanche | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$125.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.0kat 0.627Eagles vs. Rams
- +$2.5kat 0.308Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 70-72%?
- +$2.2kat 0.172Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?
- +$1.9kat 0.770Rams vs. Eagles
- +$1.9kat 0.810Steelers vs. Ravens
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 00:09 | Spread: Chiefs (-4.5) | BUY | 0.5399999992 | $275.00 |
| 07-19 20:48 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.6175 | $250.00 |
| 07-04 21:24 | Will France win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.8099999999 | $5.1k |
| 07-02 19:53 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.885 | $4.5k |
| 07-02 01:37 | United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.81 | $4.5k |
| 07-02 00:27 | United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.82 | $4.6k |
| 06-30 21:58 | Will France win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.86 | $4.0k |
| 06-30 00:49 | Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5899999999 | $482.00 |
| 06-28 19:59 | Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? | BUY | 0.4299999987 | $150.00 |
| 06-14 00:51 | Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | BUY | 0.6099999961 | $45.00 |
| 06-10 02:37 | Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5) | BUY | 0.6 | $60.00 |
| 06-07 02:29 | Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.5591597678 | $150.00 |
| 06-05 00:42 | Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes | BUY | 0.5999999994 | $200.00 |
| 05-27 01:33 | Avalanche vs. Golden Knights | BUY | 0.6499999971 | $200.00 |
| 05-26 02:09 | Hurricanes vs. Canadiens | BUY | 0.5699999998 | $65.00 |